Kiyapo Threatens Northern Luzon: Wind Signals Hoisted as Tropical Cyclone Gathers Strength

Published: July 24, 2026 | 6:00 AM PHT

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has raised wind signals over several areas in Northern Luzon as Tropical Cyclone Kiyapo continues to intensify while moving closer to the country’s landmass. The weather disturbance, which entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late Wednesday, is expected to bring heavy rains and gusty winds to the region over the next 48 hours.

Current Status and Affected Areas

As of Thursday morning, PAGASA reported that Kiyapo was located approximately 500 kilometers east of northern Luzon, packing maximum sustained winds of 65 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h. The cyclone is moving westward at 15 km/h, a trajectory that places several provinces directly in its path.

Wind Signal No. 1 has been raised over the following areas: - Cagayan (including the Babuyan Islands) - Isabela - Ilocos Norte - Apayao - Abra - Kalinga - Mountain Province - Ifugao

PAGASA warned that Signal No. 1 means winds of 30 to 60 km/h are expected within the next 36 hours, which could cause minimal to minor damage to structures made of light materials. Residents in these areas are advised to take precautionary measures, including securing loose objects and preparing emergency supplies.

Enhanced Rainfall and Monsoon Interaction

What makes Kiyapo particularly dangerous is its interaction with the southwest monsoon, locally known as habagat. PAGASA meteorologist Dr. Maria Flores explained in a briefing that the cyclone is enhancing the monsoon, leading to widespread rainfall even outside the storm’s immediate path.

“The southwest monsoon is being strengthened by Kiyapo’s circulation, which means that even areas far from the cyclone’s center could experience heavy to intense rainfall,” Flores said. “We are particularly concerned about the western sections of Luzon, including the Ilocos region and the Zambales coast.”

The enhanced monsoon is expected to bring: - Moderate to heavy rains over the western parts of Luzon, including Metro Manila, beginning Thursday afternoon - Possible flash floods and landslides in mountainous and low-lying areas - Rough to very rough seas along the western seaboard, with wave heights reaching 2.5 to 4.5 meters

Development and Trajectory

Kiyapo entered PAR on Wednesday evening as a low-pressure area (LPA) but has since intensified into a tropical depression. PAGASA noted that further development into a tropical storm is possible within the next 24 to 48 hours, depending on sea surface temperatures and wind shear conditions.

The cyclone’s slow movement is a cause for concern, as it allows more time for rainfall to accumulate over vulnerable areas. Historical data from PAGASA shows that slow-moving cyclones often result in higher rainfall totals, increasing the risk of flooding and landslides.

Preparedness and Response

Local government units in the affected areas have already begun implementing preemptive measures. In Cagayan, disaster response teams have been placed on standby, while in Ilocos Norte, residents in flood-prone barangays have been advised to prepare for possible evacuation.

The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) has activated its emergency operations center and is coordinating with regional offices. “We are closely monitoring the situation and ensuring that all response assets are ready,” said NDRRMC spokesperson Director Carlos Reyes.

Analysis and Implications

The timing of Kiyapo’s arrival is particularly challenging, as the country is still recovering from the effects of previous weather disturbances. The enhanced monsoon, in particular, poses a significant threat to agricultural areas in the Ilocos region, where rice and corn crops are currently in their growing stages.

“The combination of a tropical cyclone and an active monsoon can lead to prolonged rainfall events,” said Dr. Flores. “Farmers should take steps to protect their crops, and residents in landslide-prone areas should be ready to move to higher ground if necessary.”

Outlook

PAGASA expects Kiyapo to make landfall over northern Luzon by Friday evening or early Saturday, though the exact point of landfall remains uncertain due to the cyclone’s evolving track. After crossing the landmass, the system is likely to weaken but may still bring significant rainfall to the western parts of Luzon.

Residents are urged to stay updated through official PAGASA channels and to follow the instructions of local authorities. As the storm approaches, the public is reminded to avoid unnecessary travel and to keep emergency kits ready.

For the latest updates, follow PAGASA’s official social media accounts and tune in to local news broadcasts.

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